文一 简历

 特聘教授，BAT365唯一官网，徐汇区华山路1954号B1510，电话：021-6293-3452，Email    wenyi001@sjtu.edu.cn

 教育背景

 1996                美国爱荷华大学               经济学        博士

1991                美国圣母大学        科学史与科学哲学   硕士

1982                中国华西医科大学    医学           学士

个人简介

1982年获华西医科大学医学学士，1991年获美国圣母大学（Notre Dame）科学史与科学哲学硕士，1996年获爱荷华（Iowa）大学经济学博士。之后在香港科技大学经济系（1996-1999）、美国康奈尔大学经济系（1999-2005）任助理教授，华盛顿大学（圣路易斯）访问教授（2005-2008）。2005年起担任美国联邦储备银行高级研究员，2008年升任助理副行长，并于同年起担任清华大学经济管理学教授，CCB讲席教授，博士生导师。曾经获得美国印第安纳大学和英国华威大学（Warwick）终身正教授聘书【没有履职而是决定继续留在美联储】。2021年8月辞职美联储并全职加盟BAT365唯一官网，任经济系特聘教授。主要讲授课程包括：MBA宏观经济学，中国经济，博士班高级宏观经济学，本科生中级宏观经济学与经济学原理，全球工业革命史。研究领域包括经济发展，经济增长，商业周期，货币政策，财政政策，中国宏观经济问题。在全球顶级经济学刊物，如Econometrica, Review of Economic Studies, Journal of Economic Theory，Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Money、Credit and Banking， American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, European Economic Review， Economic Journal， Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 等匿名审稿国际顶级学术期刊发表论文五十多篇。著有《伟大的中国工业革命──发展政治经济学一般原理批判纲要》（清华出版社，2016），《The Making of an Economic Superpower: Unlocking the Secret of China's Rapid Industrialization》（英文，世界图书出版公司，2016），《科学革命的密码──枪炮、战争与西方崛起之谜》（东方出版中心有限公司，2022）；曾兼任美国宏观领域顶级学术期刊《宏观经济动力学》副主编（Macroeconomic Dynamics, Associate Editor）、《经济调控与动力学杂志》副主编（Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Associate Editor），《中国经济评论》主编（China Economic Review, co-Editor），清华大学经济管理学院《经济学报》主编（co-editor）等职。

 研究领域： 宏观经济学，包括商业周期理论，货币政策，财政政策，中国宏观经济，工业革命史、科学革命史

 国际顶级学术期刊论文（SCI）【1998 - present】

 [1] “Capacity Utilization under Increasing Returns to Scale.” Journal of Economic Theory 81 (1998) 7-36.

 [2] “Can a Real Business Cycle Model the Watson Test?” Journal of Monetary Economics 42 (1998) 185-230.

 [3] “Investment Cycles.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 22 (1998) 1139-1165.

 [4] “Indeterminacy, dynamic adjustment costs, and cycles,” Economics Letters 59 (1998) 213-216.

 [5] “A simple nonlinear filter for economic time series analysis,” (with Bing Zeng) Economics Letters 64 (1999) 151-160.

 [6] "A generalized method of impulse identification," Economics Letters 73 (2001), 367-374.

 [7] “Understanding self-fulfilling rational expectations equilibria in real-business-cycle models.” Journal of Economic   Dynamics and Control 25 (2001) 1221-1240.

 [8] "Residential Investment and Economic Growth," Annals of Economics and Finance 2 (November 2001), 437-444.

 [9] “Joint time-frequency distributions for business cycle analysis,” (with Sharif Raihan and Bing Zeng) Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2252 (2001), 347-358.

 [10] "The business cycle effects of Christmas." Journal of Monetary Economics 49 (2002), 1289-1314.

 [11] "Indeterminacy, aggregate demand, and the real business cycle." (with Jess Benhabib), Journal of Monetary Economics 51 (2004), 503-530.

[12] "What does it take to explain procyclical productivity?" Contributions to Macroeconomics 4 (2004, No.1), Article 5 (in   The B.E. Journals in Macroeconomics).

 [13] "Endogenous money or sticky prices? Comment on monetary non-neutrality and inflation dynamics." (with Peng-Fei Wang), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control  29 (2005, No. 8), 1361-83.

 [14] "Understanding the Inventory Cycle." Journal of Monetary Economics 52 (2005), 1533-1555.

[15] “Demand shocks and economic fluctuations.” Economics Letters 90 (2006), 378-383.

[16] "Another look at sticky prices and output persistence," (with Peng-fei Wang) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, December 2006, 30(12), pp. 2533-52.

[17] “By force of demand: Explaining international comovements,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 31(1), January 2007, 1-23.

 [18] "Understanding the large negative impact of oil shocks," (with Luis Conraria) Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 39(4), June 2007, 925-44.

 [19] “Granger causality and equilibrium business cycle theory,” Federal Reserve bank of St. Louis Review 89(3), May/June 2007, 195-205.

 [20] “Measuring interest rates as determined by thrift and productivity,” (with Woongyu Choi), Annals of Economics and Finance 8(1), May 2007, 159-187.

 [21] “Production and inventory behavior of capital,” Annals of Economics and Finance 8(1), May 2007, 87-104.

 [22] "What's unique about the federal funds rate? Evidence from a spectral perspective," (with Lucio Sarno and Daniel Thornton) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, April 2007, 69(2), 293-319.

 [23] “Inflation Dynamics: A Cross-Country Investigation,” (with Peng-fei Wang) Journal of Monetary Economics October 2007, 54(7), 2004-31.

 [24] “Imperfect competition and composition of aggregate output,” (with Peng-fei Wang), Journal of Economic Theory November 2008, 143(1), 519-40.

 [25] “A note on oil dependence and economic instability,” (with Luis Conraria), Macroeconomic Dynamics, November 2008, 12(5), 717-23.

 [26] “Global indeterminacy in locally determinate RBC models (with Tarek coury),  International Journal of Economic Theory, March 2009, 5(1), 49-60.[27]

 [27] “Understanding the Puzzling Effects of Technology Shocks,” (with Peng-fei Wang), Review of Economic Dynamics October 2011, 14(4), pp. 705-24.

 [28] “Dynamics of Externalities: A Second-order Approach,” (with Huabin Wu)., Federal Reserve bank of St. Louis Review April/May, 2011.

 [29] “Can rising housing prices explain China’s high household saving rate?” (with Xin Wang), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review May/June, 2011.

 [30] “Input and Output Inventory Dynamics,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, October 2011, 3(4), pp. 1-33.

 [31] “Volatility, Growth, and Welfare,” (with Peng-fei Wang), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 35 (2011) 1696–1709.

 [32] "OPEC’s Oil Exporting Strategy and Macroeconomic (In)Stability" with Luís Aguiar-Conraria, Energy Economics, January 2012, 34(1), 132-136.

 [33]  "Hayashi Meets Kiyotaki and Moore: A Theory of Capital Adjustment Costs" with Pengfei Wang, Review of Economic Dynamics, September 2012, 15(2), 207-225.

 [34] "Speculative Bubbles and Financial Crisis" with Pengfei Wang, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, July 2012, 4(3), 184-223.

 [35] “Housing Prices and the High Chinese Saving Rate Puzzle" with Xin Wang，China economic review, June 2012, 23(2), pp. 265-283.

 [36] "Leveraged Borrowing and Boom-Bust Cycles" with Patrick A. Pintus, Review of Economic Dynamics, October 2013, 16(4), 617-633.

 [37] “What Inventory Tell Us about Business Cycles? A (S,s) Approach,” with Pengfei Wang and Zhiwei Xu, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 44, pp. 196-217, July 2014.

 [38] "Money, Liquidity and Welfare," European Economic Review 76, pp. 1-24, May 2015.

 [39] “Sentiments and Aggregate Demand Fluctuations,” with Jess Benhabib and Pengfei Wang, Econometrica 83(2), pp. 549-585, March 2015.

 [40] “The Great Housing Boom of China,” with Kaiji Chen, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics April 2017, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 73-114

 [41] "Self-Fulfilling Credit Cycles," with Costas Azariadis and Leo Kaas. Review of Economic Studies, October 2016, Vol. 83, No. 4, pp. 1364-1405 Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdv056

 [42] "Two-Way Capital Flows and Global Imbalances," with Pengfei Wang and Zhiwei Xu. Economic Journal, February 2017, Vol. 127, No. 599, pp. 229-269 Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12290

 [43] "Long and Plosser Meet Bewley and Lucas" with Feng Dong, Journal of Monetary Economics, April, Vol. 102, No. April, pp. 70-92 Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.025

 [44] “Credit Search and Credit Cycles,” with Feng Dong and Pengfei Wang, Economic Theory Volume 61 (2) – Sep 26, 2015.

 [45] "Should Capital Be Taxed?" with Yunmin Chen, YiLi Chien, and  C.C. Yang, Economics Letters (forthcoming).

 [46] "A Search-Based Neoclassical Model of Capital Reallocation" with Feng Dong and Pengfei Wang, European Economic Review Volume 128, September 2020, 103515.

 [47] "International Credit Markets and Global Business Cycles" with Patrick A. Pintus and Xiaochuan Xin International Journal of Economic Theory, March, Vol. 1, No. 15, pp. 53-75 Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1111/ijet.12206

 [48] "Withstanding Great Recession like China" with Jing Wu, Manchester School, 2018-05-28 Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1111/manc.12223

 [49] "Financial Development and Long-Run Volatility Trends" with  Pengfei Wang，Review of Economic Dynamics, April 2018, Vol. 28, pp. 221-251，Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2017.08.005

 [50] "Escaping the Middle-income Trap —A Cross-Country Analysis on the Patterns of Industrial Upgrading" with Lili Wang, Advances in Economics and Business, January 2018, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 36-61，Working Paper https://doi.org/10.13189/aeb.2018.060104

 [51] "Are Unconditional Lump-sum Transfers a Good Idea?" with  Yunmin Chen, Yili Chien, and C.C. Yang, Economics Letters (forthcoming), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2021-002C, August 2021

 [52] "Time-Inconsistent Optimal Quantity of Debt" with Yili Chien, European Economic Review , Nov 2021, Vol. 140, 103913, pp. 103913, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2020-037E, September 2021

 [53] "Optimal Ramsey Capital Income Taxation under Quasilinear Preferences"，with Yili Chien, Review of Economic Dynamics (forthcoming), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2017-024C, February 2018

 [54] “China’s Industrial Revolution—A New Perspective,” China Economic Review, Volume 69, October 2021, 101671

 [55] "The Determination of Public Debt under both Aggregate and Idiosyncratic Uncertainty"，with Yili Chien, Journal of Economic Theory, July 2022, Vol. 203, 105474

[56] "Optimal Fiscal Policy under Capital Overaccumulation" with Yili Chien, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Sep 2023, Vol. 27, No. 6, pp. 1706-1736

[56] “Flight to What? Dissecting Liquidity Shortages in the Financial Crisis”with Feng Dong, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (forthcoming)

[57] “The inverted leading indicator property and redistribution effect of the interest rate”with Patrick Pintus and Xoapchuan Xin, European Economic Review, Vol. 148, September 2022, 104219.

[58] “如何正确理解国企与民企的关系？—纪念中国改革开放四十周年”，《政治经济学季刊》2018年第一卷第二期

[59] “宏观经济学的贫困——从拉瓦锡化学革命看新古典生产函数的谬误”，《政治经济学报》第25卷，2022.9.1

[60] “究竟什么是科学？—从牛顿《炼金术手稿》看流‘行科学观’的偏颇”，《东方学刊》2023年秋季刊（总第21期）

专著

 [1] 《伟大的中国工业革命——“发展政治经济学”一般原理批判纲要》（清华大学出版社，2016）

 [2] 《The Making of an Economic Superpower: Unlocking the Secret of China’s Rapid Industrialization》（英文，世界图书出版公司，2016）

 [3] 《科学革命的密码——枪炮、战争与西方崛起之谜》（东方出版中心有限公司，2022）

 [1][2]这两本专著对中国崛起和工业革命提出了一个全新的解释，目前在国内外已经形成较大影响力，豆瓣评分8.0以上，被很多国内外媒体转载和介绍，被国内外30多所科研机构、民间社团和大型企业邀请作主题发言和介绍。这些邀请单位包括：世界银行，国际货币基金组织，美国联邦储备银行，美国罗格斯大学，美国圣母大学，美国圣路易斯商会，英国曼切斯特大学，德国特里尔大学，莫斯科国立大学，香港科技大学，香港中文大学深圳高等金融研究院，英国中国留学生会，清华大学，人民银行五道口金融学院，北京大学，人民大学，BAT365唯一官网，暨南大学，华南师范大学，南开大学，长江商学院，中国非洲基金会，东方证卷，中国科学院，北京市团委，当代中国经济研究会，复旦中国研究院，观察者网，文汇报，成都康弘制药公司，王石地产，碧云资本投资公司（上海、香港）等等。第三本专著对文艺复兴以后的西方崛起和“大分流”，尤其是17-18世纪的牛顿力学革命和拉瓦锡化学革命，提出了完全不同于流行历史观的解释。

 国内媒体文章（摘选）

 [1] “中国为何超越 因为中国找到了工业革命的秘诀”，《观察者网》http://www.guancha.cn/WenYi2/2016_06_04_362845.shtml

[2] “中国经验如何照亮英国工业革命之谜”《观察者网》http://www.guancha.cn/WenYi2/2016_06_23_365070.shtml

[3] “中国崛起：英国工业革命后最壮观的历史性事件”《文汇报》http://whds.whb.cn/wenhuazixun/3133.htm

[4] “为什么中国崛起势不可挡？”《百年潮》2016.6

[5] “邓小平为什么拿不到经济学诺奖？”《观察者网》

[6] 网络评论文章：中国四书之一：文一教授的《伟大的中国工业革命》科学网—中国四书之一：文一教授的《伟大的中国工业革命》 - 钱纲的博文 (sciencenet.cn)

[7] “卢拉能够拯救巴西经济吗？”复旦大学中国研究院，2023.1.3

[8] “欧洲三十年战争，披着宗教外衣的争权夺利，”观察者网2022.8.12

 [9] “欧洲殖民者对印第安人的种族灭绝，也包括'基因置换'，” 观察者网2022.6.28

 [10] “从梅毒传播到新冠溯源，话语权战争在强国竞争中有何作用？”观察者网 2022.4.23

 [11] “文艺复兴时期的宗教改革与欧洲地缘政治权力的重新洗牌，”《经济导刊》2022.4.2

 [12] “东方卫视《这就是中国》节目第132期：科学革命的密码”观察者网 2022.2.13

 [13] “回答“李约瑟之谜”，未来科学革命如何推动？”观察者网 2022.1.11

国内经济学界获奖情况

1.  第三届孙冶方金融创新奖 （2018）
   

2.  浦山世界经济学优秀论文奖（2016）

From past to present:

[1] “Capacity Utilization under Increasing Returns to Scale.” Journal of Economic Theory 81 (1998) 7-36.

 [2] “Can a Real Business Cycle Model the Watson Test?” Journal of Monetary Economics 42 (1998) 185-230.

 [3] “Investment Cycles.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 22 (1998) 1139-1165.

 [4] “Indeterminacy, dynamic adjustment costs, and cycles,” Economics Letters 59 (1998) 213-216.

 [5] “A simple nonlinear filter for economic time series analysis,” (with Bing Zeng) Economics Letters 64 (1999) 151-160.

 [6] "A generalized method of impulse identification," Economics Letters 73 (2001), 367-374.

 [7] “Understanding self-fulfilling rational expectations equilibria in real-business-cycle models.” Journal of Economic   Dynamics and Control 25 (2001) 1221-1240.

 [8] "Residential Investment and Economic Growth," Annals of Economics and Finance 2 (November 2001), 437-444.

 [9] “Joint time-frequency distributions for business cycle analysis,” (with Sharif Raihan and Bing Zeng) Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2252 (2001), 347-358.

 [10] "The business cycle effects of Christmas." Journal of Monetary Economics 49 (2002), 1289-1314.

 [11] "Indeterminacy, aggregate demand, and the real business cycle." (with Jess Benhabib), Journal of Monetary Economics 51 (2004), 503-530.

[12] "What does it take to explain procyclical productivity?" Contributions to Macroeconomics 4 (2004, No.1), Article 5 (in   The B.E. Journals in Macroeconomics).

[13] "Endogenous money or sticky prices? Comment on monetary non-neutrality and inflation dynamics." (with Peng-Fei Wang), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control  29 (2005, No. 8), 1361-83.

[14] "Understanding the Inventory Cycle." Journal of Monetary Economics 52 (2005), 1533-1555.

[15] “Demand shocks and economic fluctuations.” Economics Letters 90 (2006), 378-383.

[16] "Another look at sticky prices and output persistence," (with Peng-fei Wang) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, December 2006, 30(12), pp. 2533-52.

[17] “By force of demand: Explaining international comovements,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 31(1), January 2007, 1-23.

[18] "Understanding the large negative impact of oil shocks," (with Luis Conraria) Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 39(4), June 2007, 925-44.

[19] “Granger causality and equilibrium business cycle theory,” Federal Reserve bank of St. Louis Review 89(3), May/June 2007, 195-205.

[20] “Measuring interest rates as determined by thrift and productivity,” (with Woongyu Choi), Annals of Economics and Finance 8(1), May 2007, 159-187.

[21] “Production and inventory behavior of capital,” Annals of Economics and Finance 8(1), May 2007, 87-104.

[22] "What's unique about the federal funds rate? Evidence from a spectral perspective," (with Lucio Sarno and Daniel Thornton) Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, April 2007, 69(2), 293-319.

[23] “Inflation Dynamics: A Cross-Country Investigation,” (with Peng-fei Wang) Journal of Monetary Economics October 2007, 54(7), 2004-31.

[24] “Imperfect competition and composition of aggregate output,” (with Peng-fei Wang), Journal of Economic Theory November 2008, 143(1), 519-40.

[25] “A note on oil dependence and economic instability,” (with Luis Conraria), Macroeconomic Dynamics, November 2008, 12(5), 717-23.

[26] “Global indeterminacy in locally determinate RBC models (with Tarek coury),  International Journal of Economic Theory, March 2009, 5(1), 49-60.[27]

[27] “Understanding the Puzzling Effects of Technology Shocks,” (with Peng-fei Wang), Review of Economic Dynamics October 2011, 14(4), pp. 705-24.

[28] “Dynamics of Externalities: A Second-order Approach,” (with Huabin Wu)., Federal Reserve bank of St. Louis Review April/May, 2011.

[29] “Can rising housing prices explain China’s high household saving rate?” (with Xin Wang), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review May/June, 2011.

[30] “Input and Output Inventory Dynamics,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, October 2011, 3(4), pp. 1-33.

[31] “Volatility, Growth, and Welfare,” (with Peng-fei Wang), Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 35 (2011) 1696–1709.

[32] "OPEC’s Oil Exporting Strategy and Macroeconomic (In)Stability" with Luís Aguiar-Conraria, Energy Economics, January 2012, 34(1), 132-136.

[33]  "Hayashi Meets Kiyotaki and Moore: A Theory of Capital Adjustment Costs" with Pengfei Wang, Review of Economic Dynamics, September 2012, 15(2), 207-225.

[34] "Speculative Bubbles and Financial Crisis" with Pengfei Wang, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, July 2012, 4(3), 184-223.

[35] “Housing Prices and the High Chinese Saving Rate Puzzle" with Xin Wang China economic review, June 2012, 23(2), pp. 265-283.

[36] "Leveraged Borrowing and Boom-Bust Cycles" with Patrick A. Pintus, Review of Economic Dynamics, October 2013, 16(4), 617-633.

[37] “What Inventory Tell Us about Business Cycles? A (S,s) Approach,” with Pengfei Wang and Zhiwei Xu, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 44, pp. 196-217, July 2014.

[38] "Money, Liquidity and Welfare," European Economic Review 76, pp. 1-24, May 2015.

[39] “Sentiments and Aggregate Demand Fluctuations,” with Jess Benhabib and Pengfei Wang, Econometrica 83(2), pp. 549-585, March 2015.

[40] “The Great Housing Boom of China,” with Kaiji Chen, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics April 2017, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 73-114

[41] "Self-Fulfilling Credit Cycles," with Costas Azariadis and Leo Kaas. Review of Economic Studies, October 2016, Vol. 83, No. 4, pp. 1364-1405. Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdv056

[42] "Two-Way Capital Flows and Global Imbalances," with Pengfei Wang and Zhiwei Xu. Economic Journal, February 2017, Vol. 127, No. 599, pp. 229-269. Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12290

 [43] "Long and Plosser Meet Bewley and Lucas" with Feng Dong, Journal of Monetary Economics, April, Vol. 102, No. April, pp. 70-92 Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.01.025

 [44] “Credit Search and Credit Cycles,” with Feng Dong and Pengfei Wang, Economic Theory Volume 61 (2) – Sep 26, 2015.

 [45] "Should Capital Be Taxed?" with Yunmin Chen, YiLi Chien, and  C.C. Yang, Economics Letters (forthcoming).

 [46] "A Search-Based Neoclassical Model of Capital Reallocation", with Feng Dong and Pengfei Wang, European Economic Review Volume 128, September 2020, 103515.

[47] "International Credit Markets and Global Business Cycles", with Patrick A. Pintus and Xiaochuan Xin, International Journal of Economic Theory, March, Vol. 1, No. 15, pp. 53-75. Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1111/ijet.12206

[48] "Withstanding Great Recession like China" with Jing Wu, Manchester School, 2018-05-28 Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1111/manc.12223

[49] "Financial Development and Long-Run Volatility Trends" with  Pengfei Wang. Review of Economic Dynamics, April 2018, Vol. 28, pp. 221-251. Working Paper https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2017.08.005

 [50] "Escaping the Middle-income Trap —A Cross-Country Analysis on the Patterns of Industrial Upgrading" with Lili Wang, Advances in Economics and Business, January 2018, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 36-61. Working Paper https://doi.org/10.13189/aeb.2018.060104

[51] "Are Unconditional Lump-sum Transfers a Good Idea?" with  Yunmin Chen, Yili Chien, and C.C. Yang, Economics Letters (forthcoming), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2021-002C, August 2021

[52] "Time-Inconsistent Optimal Quantity of Debt" with Yili Chien, European Economic Review (forthcoming), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2020-037E, September 2021

[53] "Optimal Ramsey Capital Income Taxation under Quasilinear Preferences", with Yili Chien, Review of Economic Dynamics (forthcoming), Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper 2017-024C, February 2018

[54] “China’s Industrial Revolution—A New Perspective,” China Economic Review, Volume 69, October 2021, 101671

[55] "The Determination of Public Debt under both Aggregate and Idiosyncratic Uncertainty", with Yili Chien, Journal of Economic Theory (forthcoming)

MBA《百年未有之变局下的宏观经济》

本课程的目的是帮助学生理解“百年未有之变局”的含义和这个变局下全球经济秩序的变动方向。尤其是通过对中国崛起和欧洲文艺复兴以来西方500年工业化历史的分析，帮助学生理解西方文明的本质，中国崛起的原因，以及中国崛起对西方主导的世界秩序究竟意味着什么样的冲击。我们将围绕三大相关问题进行探讨：

1. 当年西方为何崛起、东方为何衰落？

2.中国为何能再次崛起？

3.中美冲突与未来世界的经济格局？

核心问题是要回答“李约瑟之谜”：“科学革命”与“工业革命”为什么都发生在西方而不是东方？东方文明能够通过复制这两大革命并超越西方吗？